We have over-anticipated new changes, but have overlooked an interesting phenomenon that has appeared in the changes of new technology in the past few years. The shorter the time required for new things to change the status quo, the shorter the stay time. For example, an online game. It may change the daily game show of millions of people in three months, or it may be abandoned by millions of people in three months. Group-buying websites have helped many restaurants find new sources of customers who are unlikely to come to the restaurant within a year or two. In just one or two years, group-buying websites have been regarded by many restaurants as rejecting customers.
Some traditions were invented 50 years ago, and may still be passed on for another 50 years; traditional chess and mahjong have existed for hundreds of years and will continue to exist for hundreds of years, so the invention of printing has been invented for hundreds of years, can it continue for another hundred years?